Finding Certainty in Uncertain Times

Anita Groves • March 6, 2018

If you listen to the radio, watch the news on TV, read the newspaper, go on Facebook, browse the internet, or talk with people, even a little, chances are you’ve been inundated with uncertainty. The uncertainty of it all is what sells papers… or ads on the internet, because it’s not 1996 anymore.

One week the headline will read that the housing market is expected to come crashing down around us any minute, followed by an article that claims we’ve seen a 20% increase in the average sales price of detached homes. One week it looks like interest rates are gonna go through the roof, the next week everything returns to normal. One week you feel so stupid for not jumping on the Bitcoin train, the next week it’s announced that Bitcoin just fell 20%.

So how do you trust what you read? Especially if you’re someone who is prone to react to news emotionally. Well, here is some advice.

 

As far as the mortgage conversation goes, it’s pretty straight forward. Is now a good time to buy a home? Well… if you need a place to live, then yes. Let’s talk! Should I go fixed or variable? Well… we can talk about that as well. Feel free to contact me anytime , I’d love to help you work through your options.

 

As far as the housing market is concerned, is it a buyers market, or a sellers market? Well, that depends on where you live. The best advice is to talk with a trusted real estate professional.

As far as your finances are concerned, here is an article on the subject that’s worth reading. Managing Uncertainty by Julia Chung of Spring Financial Planning.

Although this article was written in January of 2018, and the cold is referenced several times, the principles are solid. And if you’re too busy to read the article in it’s entirety, here is the coles notes version in internet meme form:

Said in another way, if you’re looking to find certainty in uncertain times, you need a plan. Working with professionals is a great start.

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By Kevin Roye January 28, 2026
Bank of Canada maintains policy rate at 2¼%. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario January 28, 2026 The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The outlook for the global and Canadian economies is little changed relative to the projection in the October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, the outlook is vulnerable to unpredictable US trade policies and geopolitical risks. Economic growth in the United States continues to outpace expectations and is projected to remain solid, driven by AI-related investment and consumer spending. Tariffs are pushing up US inflation, although their effect is expected to fade gradually later this year. In the euro area, growth has been supported by activity in service sectors and will get additional support from fiscal policy. China’s GDP growth is expected to slow gradually, as weakening domestic demand offsets strength in exports. Overall, the Bank expects global growth to average about 3% over the projection horizon. Global financial conditions have remained accommodative overall. Recent weakness in the US dollar has pushed the Canadian dollar above 72 cents, roughly where it had been since the October MPR. Oil prices have been fluctuating in response to geopolitical events and, going forward, are assumed to be slightly below the levels in the October report. US trade restrictions and uncertainty continue to disrupt growth in Canada. After a strong third quarter, GDP growth in the fourth quarter likely stalled. Exports continue to be buffeted by US tariffs, while domestic demand appears to be picking up. Employment has risen in recent months. Still, the unemployment rate remains elevated at 6.8% and relatively few businesses say they plan to hire more workers. Economic growth is projected to be modest in the near term as population growth slows and Canada adjusts to US protectionism. In the projection, consumer spending holds up and business investment strengthens gradually, with fiscal policy providing some support. The Bank projects growth of 1.1% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027, broadly in line with the October projection. A key source of uncertainty is the upcoming review of the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement. CPI inflation picked up in December to 2.4%, boosted by base-year effects linked to last winter’s GST/HST holiday. Excluding the effect of changes in taxes, inflation has been slowing since September. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation have eased from 3% in October to around 2½% in December. Inflation was 2.1% in 2025 and the Bank expects inflation to stay close to the 2% target over the projection period, with trade-related cost pressures offset by excess supply. Monetary policy is focused on keeping inflation close to the 2% target while helping the economy through this period of structural adjustment. Governing Council judges the current policy rate remains appropriate, conditional on the economy evolving broadly in line with the outlook we published today. However, uncertainty is heightened and we are monitoring risks closely. If the outlook changes, we are prepared to respond. The Bank is committed to ensuring that Canadians continue to have confidence in price stability through this period of global upheaval. Information note The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 18, 2026. The Bank’s next MPR will be released on April 29, 2026. Read the January 28th, 2026 Monetary Report
By Kevin Roye January 21, 2026
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